Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.469928 11.601808 12.817868 14.223667 15.806693 17.537173 19.576144
2025-09-14 8.601670 10.115310 11.854289 14.008423 16.616830 19.687677 23.598084
2025-09-21 7.166868 8.864775 10.930726 13.648450 17.157315 21.572546 27.608276
2025-09-28 6.165573 7.972327 10.285210 13.496248 17.890917 23.770722 32.361301
2025-10-05 5.592357 7.531695 10.133446 13.932209 19.426309 27.222956 39.377093
2025-10-12 5.109749 7.138128 9.977049 14.317468 20.923728 30.830214 47.255269
2025-10-19 4.622292 6.669009 9.643256 14.382234 21.936559 33.852220 54.773870
2025-10-26 4.165696 6.185305 9.220366 14.239736 22.585341 36.376439 61.920901
2025-11-02 3.767757 5.741672 8.799957 14.033333 23.080423 38.695030 69.116509
2025-11-09 3.422006 5.339817 8.395358 13.791352 23.463916 40.853824 76.400874
2025-11-16 3.137307 5.004951 8.059415 13.616122 23.925880 43.201365 84.480438
2025-11-23 2.906956 4.735531 7.801356 13.539507 24.545365 45.920459 93.838655
2025-11-30 2.755044 4.588614 7.745090 13.835337 25.942325 50.449682 108.224935
2025-12-07 2.556642 4.342009 7.488039 13.724500 26.526193 53.427236 119.829196
2025-12-14 2.354756 4.070499 7.158698 13.433956 26.701731 55.567826 129.962440
2025-12-21 2.198484 3.867266 6.934708 13.323307 27.236759 58.588291 143.024166
2025-12-28 2.126488 3.813200 6.986398 13.778786 29.070173 64.917685 166.432767
2026-01-04 2.052645 3.748414 7.009812 14.176336 30.833478 71.413535 192.142971
2026-01-11 1.950072 3.618708 6.891133 14.251398 31.854888 76.254532 214.428728
2026-01-18 1.835548 3.455663 6.689268 14.117348 32.351811 79.831086 233.884881
2026-01-25 1.724842 3.291286 6.469665 13.917350 32.656143 82.951699 252.825264
2026-02-01 1.620282 3.131257 6.245118 13.680393 32.832834 85.757563 271.595137
2026-02-08 1.529906 2.993688 6.056817 13.508502 33.156853 89.056630 293.192553